Decision · Debt

Pay off debt or invest?

If you have extra cash each month, where does it earn more? Compare aggressively paying debt down and then investing, versus investing from day one while paying the minimum.

Your debt

Extra money & investing

Preferences

A Debt first, then invest

Debt-free in-

Investment value-

Net wealth-

B Invest from day one

Remaining debt-

Investment value-

Net wealth-

Rule of thumb

If your debt rate is higher than your expected investment return, paying it off usually wins. If your return is higher, investing often wins — but guaranteed debt interest is a certainty; investment returns aren't.

Net wealth over time

Debt first, then invest Invest from day one
FAQ

Debt vs invest — frequently asked questions

Should I always pay off high-interest debt first?

Almost always, yes. If your debt rate is higher than the return you realistically expect from investments (after taxes), the math says pay the debt. Credit cards at 18–25% APR are nearly impossible to out-earn in the market.

What investment return should I assume?

A common planning assumption is 6–8% annually for diversified stock/bond portfolios over long periods, but real returns vary. Use a conservative number (5–6%) if you want a margin of safety in your decision.

Does tax-advantaged investing change the answer?

Yes, meaningfully. Employer matches on 401(k) contributions are an instant 50–100% return and almost always beat paying extra on moderate-rate debt. Adjust your expected return downward by your tax rate for taxable accounts to get a fair comparison.

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